The odds of each team reaching each round, from 10,000 simulations of the full tournament. Color goes from red (unlikely) to green (very likely), by column. Tap a column to sort.

Team	Advances	R16	QF	Semis	Final	Champion
SpainESP	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100.0%
ArgentinaARG	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	<1%
MexicoMEX	100%	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
South AfricaRSA	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBIH	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
CanadaCAN	100%	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
SwitzerlandSUI	100%	100%	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%
BrazilBRA	100%	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
MoroccoMAR	100%	100%	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%
AustraliaAUS	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
United StatesUSA	100%	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
ParaguayPAR	100%	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
GermanyGER	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Ivory CoastCIV	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
EcuadorECU	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
JapanJPN	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
NetherlandsNED	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
SwedenSWE	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
BelgiumBEL	100%	100%	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%
EgyptEGY	100%	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Cape VerdeCPV	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
FranceFRA	100%	100%	100%	100%	<1%	<1%
NorwayNOR	100%	100%	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%
SenegalSEN	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
AlgeriaALG	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
AustriaAUT	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
ColombiaCOL	100%	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
PortugalPOR	100%	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
DR CongoCOD	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
CroatiaCRO	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
GhanaGHA	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
EnglandENG	100%	100%	100%	100%	<1%	<1%
South KoreaKOR	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
CzechiaCZE	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
QatarQAT	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
ScotlandSCO	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
HaitiHAI	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
TürkiyeTUR	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
CuraçaoCUW	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
TunisiaTUN	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
IranIRN	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
New ZealandNZL	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Saudi ArabiaKSA	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
UruguayURU	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
IraqIRQ	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
JordanJOR	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
UzbekistanUZB	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
PanamaPAN	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%