Tableau des probabilités
La probabilité que chaque équipe atteigne chaque tour, selon 10,000 simulations du tournoi complet. La couleur va du rouge (peu probable) au vert (très probable), par colonne. Touchez une colonne pour trier.
| Équipe | Qualifié | 8es | Quarts | Demis | Finale | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇪🇸EspagneESP | 100% | 72% | 52% | 39% | 26% | 17.1% |
| 🇦🇷ArgentinaARG | 98% | 65% | 50% | 35% | 23% | 14.1% |
| 🇫🇷FranceFRA | 98% | 74% | 51% | 34% | 20% | 12.3% |
| 🇵🇹PortugalPOR | 97% | 66% | 42% | 25% | 14% | 7.7% |
| 🏴AngleterreENG | 96% | 67% | 43% | 26% | 15% | 7.7% |
| 🇧🇷BrésilBRA | 98% | 62% | 41% | 25% | 14% | 7.3% |
| 🇳🇱Pays-BasNED | 92% | 58% | 40% | 24% | 13% | 6.8% |
| 🇩🇪AllemagneGER | 98% | 65% | 34% | 19% | 9% | 4.4% |
| 🇧🇪BelgiqueBEL | 96% | 62% | 36% | 16% | 8% | 3.1% |
| 🇨🇴ColombieCOL | 90% | 51% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2.6% |
| 🇺🇾UruguayURU | 89% | 39% | 22% | 11% | 5% | 1.9% |
| 🇭🇷CroatieCRO | 85% | 46% | 22% | 11% | 5% | 1.8% |
| 🇨🇭SuisseSUI | 93% | 55% | 25% | 10% | 4% | 1.6% |
| 🇯🇵JaponJPN | 80% | 39% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1.5% |
| 🇲🇦MarocMAR | 87% | 39% | 21% | 9% | 4% | 1.4% |
| 🇸🇳SénégalSEN | 74% | 37% | 18% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| 🇪🇨ÉquateurECU | 88% | 43% | 17% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| 🇲🇽MexiqueMEX | 91% | 45% | 17% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| 🇳🇴NorvègeNOR | 86% | 41% | 17% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| 🇹🇷TurquieTUR | 81% | 40% | 15% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| 🇮🇷IranIRN | 68% | 36% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| 🇨🇮Côte d'IvoireCIV | 82% | 38% | 15% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| 🇺🇸États-UnisUSA | 82% | 40% | 16% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| 🇰🇷Corée du SudKOR | 72% | 34% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| 🇦🇹AutricheAUT | 82% | 27% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| 🇩🇿AlgérieALG | 68% | 23% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| 🇸🇪SuèdeSWE | 63% | 26% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| 🏴ÉcosseSCO | 69% | 26% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| 🇨🇦CanadaCAN | 87% | 40% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| 🇪🇬ÉgypteEGY | 75% | 33% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| 🇨🇿TchéquieCZE | 68% | 30% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇵🇾ParaguayPAR | 63% | 25% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇦🇺AustralieAUS | 46% | 16% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇧🇦Bosnie-HerzégovineBIH | 65% | 27% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇬🇭GhanaGHA | 46% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇨🇩RD CongoCOD | 42% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇵🇦PanamaPAN | 36% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇿🇦Afrique du SudRSA | 39% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇶🇦QatarQAT | 25% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇹🇳TunisieTUN | 35% | 11% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇨🇻Cap-VertCPV | 30% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇸🇦Arabie saouditeKSA | 31% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇺🇿OuzbékistanUZB | 31% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇭🇹HaïtiHAI | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇯🇴JordanieJOR | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇮🇶IrakIRQ | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇳🇿Nouvelle-ZélandeNZL | 29% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇨🇼CuraçaoCUW | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |